Expected Value Calculator

Combine possible outcomes and probabilities transparently.

Expected Value Calculator

Enter up to four outcomes. Probabilities should total 100%.

OutcomeProbability %Value
Enter your assumptions, then calculate.

Look beyond the average

Review the worst outcome, liquidity required and whether the decision is repeated or one-time. A positive expected value may still violate a risk limit.

Privacy: Calculations run in your browser. This site does not receive the values you enter. Browser storage is used only where the tool explicitly offers Save.